With one month to go before the first round of municipal elections, Ifop-Fiducial conducted a survey for Lyon Capitale and Sud Radio on the electoral climate in Lyon.
In Lyon, awareness of the main figures in the municipal campaign is highly contrasted. Jean-Michel Aulas is by far the best-known figure: 95% of Lyonnais say they know him, and 57% have a good opinion of him. This popularity is particularly marked among the over-65s (72% positive opinion). The outgoing mayor, Grégory Doucet, is also very well known (93%), but his image is more polarized, with 41% in favor. Conversely, the other figures in the competition are much less well known: Anaïs Belouassa Cherifi is known by only 35% of residents (including 15% with good opinions), while Alexandre Humbert Dupalais remains largely unknown, with only 21% awareness and 6% with good opinions.
In this first-round configuration, the list led by Jean-Michel Aulas would come out clearly ahead with 45% of voting intentions. It would overtake the municipal majority list led by Grégory Doucet, credited with 29%. Behind it, the list led by Anaïs Belouassa Cherifi would garner 11%. The other lists would appear more marginal: 6% respectively for the lists led by Georges Képénékian and Alexandre Humbert Dupalais, 2.5% for that of Nathalie Perrin-Gilbert and 0.5% for the list led by Raphaëlle Mizony.
At this stage, 68% of voters would say they are sure of their choice, a level of certainty particularly high among Jean-Michel Aulas voters (75%), while it would appear more fragile among Anaïs Belouassa Cherifi voters (57%).
In the event of a duel between Jean-Michel Aulas and Grégory Doucet in the second round, the former OL president would win with 58% of voting intentions, against 42% for the outgoing mayor. Even in a triangular configuration with Alexandre Humbert Dupalais’ list, the momentum would remain in Jean-Michel Aulas’ favor, who would maintain a lead with 52%, ahead of Grégory Doucet at 40%, while the list supported by the Rassemblement National would garner 8%.
This balance of power would take place in a local context marked by a rather critical assessment of municipal action. Since June 2020, 45% of Lyonnais say they are satisfied with the work accomplished by their municipality, while a majority of 55% say they are dissatisfied. This level of satisfaction would appear to be significantly lower than the national average for cities of over 30,000 inhabitants, which reached 65% in October 2025, suggesting a more tense local political climate in the run-up to the municipal elections.
