The results of a municipal survey in Marseille, conducted by Ifop-Fiducial for La Provence and Sud Radio, confirm a “three-block” election with no natural favorite, against the backdrop of the RN’s rise to prominence and the retreat of the old left-right divide. The left-wing union list led by Benoît Payan would come out on top with 30%, but would be followed by the Rassemblement National list led by Franck Allisio (27%) and Martine Vassal’s right-of-center union list (26%), while the France insoumise list, at 15%, appears to be a powerful pole among the under-35s. The tripartition is clear: a municipal left that holds its ground, a very high RN, particularly anchored among working-class voters and the over-50s, and a classic right that retains a solid base, particularly among senior citizens and Emmanuel Macron voters, but sees some of its former supporters tempted by the RN.nnAgainst this backdrop, the ballot remains open, even if the vote already appears fairly stabilized: 67% of voters say they are sure of their choice, a proportion even higher among RN (79%) and LFI (75%) supporters. The determinants of the vote are above all organized around issues of public order and living conditions: the fight against drug trafficking (55%) and the safety of people and property (55%) are the themes most often judged to be “decisive”, ahead of cleanliness and maintenance of the city (46%) and the provision of care and health services (43%). Overlooking all this, Emmanuel Macron’s very high unpopularity in Marseille (17% satisfied, 80% dissatisfied, a level close to that observed nationwide) fuels a climate of mistrust that favors opposition forces, whether of the radical left or the far right.
The political climate in Marseille
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