The October survey of the Ifop-Fiducial barometer for *Paris Match* and *Sud Radio* is marked first and foremost by a widespread decline in the public image of the figures surveyed. Of the 50 figures in the ranking, 41 have seen their ratings drop compared to September; only five have improved, and four remain stable. The top three remain unchanged: Michel-Édouard Leclerc remains in the lead with 52% favorable opinions, ahead of Dominique de Villepin (45%) and Christine Lagarde (44%), but all three have lost two points. Marine Le Pen, meanwhile, has moved up from 9th to 4th place without improving her rating, remaining steady at 43%, while Jordan Bardella remains in 5th place but has dropped significantly to 41% (-5).

This lack of trust particularly affects figures likely to play a central role in the upcoming presidential election. Raphaël Glucksmann and David Lisnard are the two main exceptions to the trend, with gains of +5 points to 36% and +3 points to 34%, respectively. Marine Le Pen remains steady at 43%. Conversely, several prominent figures are losing significant ground: Gabriel Attal is down 9 points, Jean-Luc Mélenchon by 6, Édouard Philippe by 5, and Bruno Retailleau by 4. This trend suggests less a clear realignment of the balance of power than an almost collective erosion of popularity levels, in which gains become all the more noticeable precisely because they are rare.

The decline is particularly severe for figures associated with the centrist bloc and the executive branch. Emmanuel Macron’s approval rating drops to 25%, down 8 points, placing him 49th out of 50. Sébastien Lecornu drops 6 points to 37%, Gabriel Attal drops 9 points to 34%, while François Bayrou and Aurore Bergé each lose 5 points. Beyond the rankings, the level of disapproval is also high: Emmanuel Macron garners 75% negative opinions, compared to 25% positive, for a net score of -50 points.

More broadly, it is indeed disapproval that shapes a large part of the rankings. Only four figures have more favorable than unfavorable opinions: Michel-Édouard Leclerc (+20-point net), Christine Lagarde (+3), David Lisnard (+3), and Robert Ménard (+2). At the other end of the spectrum, several figures have very negative net scores: Jean-Luc Mélenchon is at -35, François Bayrou at -39, Éric Zemmour at -45, and Emmanuel Macron at -50.

Finally, on the left, Jean-Luc Mélenchon exemplifies a particularly strong form of polarization. He garners only 31% favorable opinions among the general population and has dropped by six points, but remains very strong within his political base: 63% favorable opinions among left-wing supporters and 93% among supporters of La France insoumise. Bally Bagayoko also stands out, with 67% of left-wing supporters holding a favorable opinion of him. Raphaël Glucksmann presents a different profile: he has seen strong growth among the general population and has reached 76% among Socialist supporters and 62% among Green supporters.