The June 2026 edition of the Ifop-Fiducial poll for Paris Match and Sud Radio shows a clear upward trend: only 11 public figures remained stable or saw their ratings decline from one month to the next. Against this favorable backdrop, Michel-Édouard Leclerc (53%, +2) retains the top spot for the fifth consecutive month since he was first included in the poll. He leads Jean-Louis Borloo (49%, unchanged), who has regained second place, and Dominique de Villepin (48%, -2), in third. Notably, the top three spots are now held by three figures who do not currently hold—or no longer hold—elected office.
In the poll’s Top 5, Édouard Philippe (47%, -2, 4th) has seen his support decline. For the first time since January, the mayor of Le Havre has fallen out of the top three. His decline is all the more notable given that he is losing ground among two key demographics: seniors and Renaissance supporters. At the same time, his rival within the centrist bloc, Gabriel Attal (45%, +2, 7th), has climbed another two spots after already making significant gains the previous month. The gap is thus narrowing between Emmanuel Macron’s two former prime ministers.
Amid the fallout from the Lyhanna affair, Gérald Darmanin (42%, -3, 11th) appears to be the most vulnerable member of the executive branch. His decline does not constitute a collapse, but it is politically significant: the Minister of Justice has dropped four spots at a time when criticism of the justice system’s functioning and the criminal justice response is at the center of public debate. Conversely, Sébastien Lecornu (46%, +1, 6th) remains at a high level, while Emmanuel Macron (33%, +1, 43rd) has risen very slightly and Laurent Nuñez (33%, +5, 44th) has seen a more marked increase.
However, this trend is particularly favorable to several figures on the right, especially those associated with a strong-state stance. Bruno Retailleau (43%, +7) has seen one of the sharpest increases this month and has climbed to 9th place, moving up fifteen spots compared to May. Other right-wing figures are also gaining ground, such as Laurent Wauquiez (40%, +4, 18th), Nicolas Sarkozy (40%, +3, 19th), Rachida Dati (36%, +5, 31st), François-Xavier Bellamy (35%, +6, 33rd), and David Lisnard (35%, +7, 34th).
Conversely, the leading figures of the National Rally are treading water. Jordan Bardella (43%, -2) has slipped to 10th place, while Marine Le Pen (37%, -4, 27th) has recorded one of the sharpest declines in this round of polling. The decline of the RN’s top two leaders contrasts with the more moderate gains of Marion Maréchal (42%, +1, 12th) and Sarah Knafo (36%, +3, 32nd).
On the left, the June poll highlights a dynamic that is more fragmented than unified. Former Socialist figures remain very well positioned: Ségolène Royal (47%, +5, 5th), ahead of François Hollande (44%, =, 8th). At the same time, several figures more directly associated with the current realignment are making significant gains, such as Emmanuel Grégoire (39%, +9, 24th) and Raphaël Glucksmann (39%, +7, 25th).
Jean-Luc Mélenchon (34%, +4, 37th) is also gaining ground, but remains a highly polarizing figure, with a particularly high level of negative opinions.
