The electoral climate in Paris

Together with

23.02.26

  • Ifop Opinion
  • Public affairs
  • FR

1 min to read

With three weeks to go to the first round of the municipal elections, Ifop-Fiducial for l’Opinion and Sud Radio conducted an election survey in Paris.

In the first round, we observe a dynamic for Sarah Knafo (11% of voting intentions, + 2 points) as well as for Rachida Dati (30%, + 2 points), who would be hot on the heels of Emmanuel Grégoire’s list (32%, =).

Sophia Chikirou’s list would remain stable (11%, =), and PY. Bournazel (12%, -2 points) and Thierry Mariani (4%, -1 point).

Hesitancy remains high: a quarter of voters (22%) having expressed a voting intention, could still change their mind, but down 3 points on January.

In the second round, in the event of a quadrangular election, the advantage would go to Rachida Dati:

  • List Rachida Dati (LR, Modem, UDI, Horizons, Renaissance): 42%, + 4 points
  • List Emmanuel Grégoire (PS, Ecolo., PC): 36%, – 2 points
  • List Sophia Chikirou (LFI): 11%, -1 point
  • List Sarah Knafo (REC.): 11%, – 1 point

In the event of a three-way tie, Rachida Dati would also widen her lead:

  • List Rachida Dati (LR, Modem, UDI, Horizons, Renaissance): 49%, + 4 points
  • List Emmanuel Grégoire (PS, Ecolo., PC): 40%, -1 point
  • List Sophia Chikirou (LFI): 11%, -3 points