With less than ten days to go to the first round of municipal elections, Ifop-Fiducial for La Dépêche du Midi and Sud Radio conducted a survey on the electoral climate in Montauban.
In the first round, the list supported by the Rassemblement National and the UDR, led by Didier Lallemand, would come out on top with 27% of voting intentions. This would put it ahead of the PS list led by Arnaud Hilion (23%). Behind it, two lists would be neck-and-neck: the Republican list led by Thierry Deville and the citizens’ list led by Jean-Philippe Labarre, both credited with 15%. The France insoumise list led by Samir Chikhi would obtain 12%, while the divers list led by Jean-Lou Lévi would reach 7.5%.
In terms of certainty of choice, 62% of voters said they were sure of their vote, while 36% could still change their mind. This certainty would appear to be particularly high among voters on the list led by Samir Chikhi (88%), and lower among voters on the list led by Thierry Deville (45%).
In the event of a five-way run-off, the list led by Didier Lallemand would come out on top with 26% of voting intentions. It would narrowly beat the list led by Arnaud Hilion, credited with 25%. The list led by Thierry Deville would obtain 21%, ahead of the citizens’ list led by Jean-Philippe Labarre (17%). Finally, the list led by Samir Chikhi would garner 11% of voting intentions.
In the event of a second round in a quadrangular configuration, the list led by Arnaud Hilion would come out on top with 30% of voting intentions. It would overtake the list led by Didier Lallemand, credited with 28%. The list led by Thierry Deville would obtain 22%, while the citizens’ list led by Jean-Philippe Labarre would garner 20% of voting intentions.
