Two weeks before the first round of municipal elections, Ifop-Fiducial conducted a survey for La Voix du Nord, France 3, Ici and Sud Radio on the electoral climate in Lille.
In the first round, the municipal majority list led by Arnaud Deslandes would come out on top with 28% of voting intentions. It would overtake the Ecologistes list led by Stéphane Baly (20%), followed by the France Insoumise list led by Lahouaria Addouche (16%) and the Bloc Central list led by Violette Spillebout (15%). The lists led by Matthieu Valet (RN) and Louis Delemer (LR) would garner 9% and 7% respectively.
In terms of certainty of choice, over a third of voters (36%) said they could still change their mind, while 64% said they were certain of their vote. This certainty would appear to be particularly high among voters on the Rassemblement National list led by Matthieu Valet (82%), and lower among those on the list led by Violette Spillebout (54%).
In the event of a second round in a quadrangular configuration, the list led by Arnaud Deslandes would reach 37% of voting intentions, retaining first place. It would be followed by the list led by Violette Spillebout, credited with 24%. The Ecologiste list would garner 20%, while the France insoumise list would reach 19%.
In the event of a triangular second round with a PS-Ecologist alliance, the list led by Arnaud Deslandes would achieve 53% of voting intentions, ahead of the list led by Violette Spillebout (36%) and the list led by Lahouaria Addouche (18%).
Finally, in the event of a triangular second round with an ecologist-LFI alliance, the list led by Arnaud Deslandes would reach 41% of voting intentions, ahead of the list led by Stéphane Baly supported by La France insoumise (35%) and the central bloc list (24%).
