Against a backdrop of political instability, Ifop-Fiducial, for LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio, questioned the French on their voting intentions for the forthcoming parliamentary elections.
The Rassemblement National and its allies clearly dominated the poll: depending on the configurations tested, the RN and Éric Ciotti’s UDR garnered 35% to 36% of voting intentions. The RN, UDR and Reconquête aggregate would total 39% to 40% of voting intentions, an unprecedented score in this pre-election period.
The central bloc would appear to be the most sanctioned force, with 14% and 13% of voting intentions for Renaissance-MoDem-Horizons-UDI candidates, 8 to 9 points below its score in the 1st round of the 2024 legislative elections.
On the left, a New Unified Popular Front would achieve 24% of voting intentions. In the case of separate offers, the PS-PCF-Place Publique pole would reach 17%, while LFI and Les Écologistes would total 10%. If LFI were to stand alone against a PS-PCF-PP-Les Écologistes Union, the Union would be credited with 19% and LFI with 8%. In all configurations, LR would remain between 11% and 12% of voting intentions.
On the question of alliances on the right in the next legislative elections, among potential voters from the center and right, 46% would prefer a union of the Republicans (LR) with the RN, UDR and Reconquête, 25% a union LR-bloc central, and 29% autonomous candidacies. Among Republican voters, 41% would opt for a union with the RN, UDR and Reconquête, 30% for an alliance with the central bloc, and 29% for autonomous candidacies.
